Example: Away Team 23 – Home Team 16
This provides a projected outcome for both teams. It’s not just about the score itself but understanding the spread it implies (e.g., a difference of 7 points in this case).
Example: BTA Spread: -7 vs. Vegas Spread: -5.5
A spread shows the expected margin of victory. The BTA model helps identify potential gaps between its predicted spread and the Vegas line. When BTA’s spread differs significantly from Vegas (e.g., -7 vs. -5.5), it can highlight opportunities for value bets.
Example: Total Predicted Points: 39
Probability: 57% chance of 39+ points
This section helps you determine whether to bet on the over or under. If BTA’s prediction suggests a high probability of surpassing a certain point total, but Vegas sets a lower line (e.g., 37.5 points), there may be value in betting the over.
A teaser in sports betting is essentially a parlay with alternate point spreads or totals, adjusted in your favor. The most common example is a two-team, six-point football teaser, which provides an extra six points on each spread. This type of teaser typically pays close to a regular point spread bet at -120 odds.
By using teasers, you increase the likelihood of winning the individual bets within the parlay, though the payout may adjust accordingly. The BTA model helps you identify safe ranges to tease, ensuring that even with the adjusted spreads or totals, you still have a high probability of success.
A same-game parlay (SGP) is a combination of multiple bets from a single game, where all selections must win for the bet to pay out. These parlays often include spreads, totals, and player props, allowing bettors to stack bets for larger potential payouts.
Since the odds increase with each additional leg, same-game parlays offer higher rewards but come with more risk. The BTA model helps you identify optimal ranges to use for your bets, increasing your chances of building winning parlays.
By using the BTA model’s probabilistic ranges to align with favorable spreads and totals, you can make smarter parlay selections. The model identifies gaps between its predictions and Vegas lines, giving you an edge in constructing profitable same-game parlays.
