Knowledge HUB

THE MODEL

BTA Model Explainer

The BTA model is a probabilistic prediction tool designed to help users gain insights into NFL games. Unlike traditional predictions that provide single-point outcomes, the BTA model delivers ranges of possible outcomes for spreads, total points, and game results. This empowers users to interpret these ranges and make more informed decisions when placing bets or evaluating matchups.

The Value

Understanding key predictions

Who are BTA Sports?

BTA Sports was founded by Tyler Fox and Nick Schell in the Philadelphia suburbs. The idea emerged during the 2023 Fantasy Football season when they sought a smarter way to analyze player performance and predict outcomes. Leveraging their backgrounds in financial modeling and statistical analysis, they aimed to revolutionize NFL analytics by applying investment principles to sports betting, helping users assess risk and potential returns more effectively.

BTA Sports is committed to promoting responsible sports betting by prioritizing data accuracy, risk assessment, and user education. They do not promote specific wagers but instead equip bettors with tools to evaluate probability-weighted options, ensuring informed and responsible decision-making.

BTA Sports stands out by combining advanced AI and machine learning to provide probability-weighted insights for NFL games. Unlike traditional platforms, BTA Sports emphasizes transparency and user education, offering tools that allow users to adjust variables like spreads and totals to see how probabilities shift, enabling smarter, risk-aware decisions.

BTA Sports (*Beat The Analytics*) is an AI-powered platform that provides smarter betting tools, custom analytics, and full transparency.

Our mission is to empower sports fans with better tools, clearer insights, and a smarter approach to sports betting & fantasy leagues. We believe data should be accessible, intuitive, and actually helpful√¢ & not hidden behind paywalls or jargon. At BTA, we want you to win more than you lose.

We don’t just offer picks, we empower users with interactive tools, true win probabilities, and transparent data based on machine learning models.

Example: Away Team 23 – Home Team 16
This provides a projected outcome for both teams. It’s not just about the score itself but understanding the spread it implies (e.g., a difference of 7 points in this case).

Example: BTA Spread: -7 vs. Vegas Spread: -5.5
A spread shows the expected margin of victory. The BTA model helps identify potential gaps between its predicted spread and the Vegas line. When BTA’s spread differs significantly from Vegas (e.g., -7 vs. -5.5), it can highlight opportunities for value bets.

Example: Total Predicted Points: 39
Probability: 57% chance of 39+ points
This section helps you determine whether to bet on the over or under. If BTA’s prediction suggests a high probability of surpassing a certain point total, but Vegas sets a lower line (e.g., 37.5 points), there may be value in betting the over.

A teaser in sports betting is essentially a parlay with alternate point spreads or totals, adjusted in your favor. The most common example is a two-team, six-point football teaser, which provides an extra six points on each spread. This type of teaser typically pays close to a regular point spread bet at -120 odds.

By using teasers, you increase the likelihood of winning the individual bets within the parlay, though the payout may adjust accordingly. The BTA model helps you identify safe ranges to tease, ensuring that even with the adjusted spreads or totals, you still have a high probability of success.

A same-game parlay (SGP) is a combination of multiple bets from a single game, where all selections must win for the bet to pay out. These parlays often include spreads, totals, and player props, allowing bettors to stack bets for larger potential payouts.

Since the odds increase with each additional leg, same-game parlays offer higher rewards but come with more risk. The BTA model helps you identify optimal ranges to use for your bets, increasing your chances of building winning parlays.

  • Example:
    • Spread: Tease Pittsburgh from -7 to -2.5
    • Over/Under: Tease the total points from 39 to 34
    • Outcome: If Pittsburgh wins by at least 3 points and the total points exceed 34, your parlay hits.

By using the BTA model’s probabilistic ranges to align with favorable spreads and totals, you can make smarter parlay selections. The model identifies gaps between its predictions and Vegas lines, giving you an edge in constructing profitable same-game parlays.

Predict with Precision, Perform with Confidence.

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